Get ready for the sequel. On November 6, the Associated Press declared Donald Trump the winner of the 2024 US presidential election. A transition now kicks off as world events continue to churn. When he returns to the presidency on January 20, Trump’s inbox will be full of global challenges. How will he respond? And
Original Source On September 27, Andrew Michta, director and senior fellow in the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, published an article in RealClearDefense titled “A Crisis of Competence.” He discussed the Global War on Terror (GWOT) post 9/11 and various conflicts post-Cold War in which the United States has invested resources. He argued that the United States
In June, much of the world saw not only rising temperatures, but also multiplying stresses on the world order. Israel and Hamas still did not agree on a cease-fire, despite hopes earlier in the month that both sides would sign onto a previously floated three-phase plan. Tensions between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his military
Russia has launched its third major mobilization wave in anticipation of its upcoming spring/summer campaign to take more land in Ukraine. On March 31, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree to begin the next conscription drive, setting the target at 150,000 new inductees slated for military service. This came after a decision in July
ORIGINAL SOURCE On January 18, an article written by Andrew Michta, Director and Senior Fellow in the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was featured in RealClearWorld discussing how the United States requires a new national security strategy to better address both the war in Ukraine and larger “period of protracted systemic instability worldwide.” Washington is in need
ORIGINAL SOURCE On January 14, Andrew Michta, Director and Senior Fellow of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was published by Politico on why Congress’s failure to pass the Ukraine aid package in December 2023 demonstrates that the United States should develop a new national security strategy. He argues that “the U.S. and its allies should have
FORWARD DEFENSE STRATEGY PAPER LAUNCH Download PDF The United States faces an increasingly challenging international security environment with ongoing conflicts in Europe and the Middle East. Tensions are also rising across the Taiwan Strait. With Xi Jinping charging his military to give him the ability to invade Taiwan by 2027, US and allied defense strategists
ORIGINAL SOURCE On October 10, an article by Dr. Andrew Mitcha, director and senior fellow of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was published in City Journal on the implications of Hamas’s attack on Israel for strategic competition. Michta argued that the attack demonstrates that mass is still key on the battlefield and the possibility of a
ORIGINAL SOURCE On November 29, an interview with Dr. Andrew Michta, director and senior fellow of the Scowcroft Strategy Initiative, was released by Al Jazeera Balkans. Michta discusses the war in Ukraine and European security architecture, noting that Russia will be able to rebuild its military in only a few years. We need a solution
Table of contents Introduction Definitions, institutions, and norms Trends and uncertainties Scenarios Sahel regional analysis Questions for policymakers I. Introduction The multilateral system, defined as the set of rules, norms, and institutions that together constitute the world’s governance architecture, is not static. Rather, this system both evolves over time and, less frequently, is reconstituted by
