Get ready for the sequel. On November 6, the Associated Press declared Donald Trump the winner of the 2024 US presidential election. A transition now kicks off as world events continue to churn. When he returns to the presidency on January 20, Trump’s inbox will be full of global challenges. How will he respond? And
Click on the banner above to explore the Tiger Project. Almost on a weekly cadence now, a new headline spotlights the growing flow of artillery shells and ballistic missiles from North Korea to Russia and then to the battlefield in Ukraine. On October 23, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin confirmed the latest development: North Korea
GET UP TO SPEED They’re already there. On Wednesday, US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin confirmed that North Korean troops are in Russia, backing up earlier reports from South Korean intelligence. This news came as Ukrainian intelligence officials warned that thousands of North Korean soldiers will soon be deployed to Kursk, near Russian territory that
Click on the banner above to explore the Tiger Project. Over the past few years, discussions on Taiwan’s military readiness have honed in on the long delays in processing and delivering US weapon systems to Taiwan while China’s capabilities are rapidly growing—putting deterrence at risk. However, delivery is just one step in the process of
ORIGINAL SOURCE On August 6, Matthew Kroenig and Markus Garlauskas published an article in Foreign Policy discussing the escalating risk of simultaneous US conflicts with China and North Korea. The article emphasized that a conflict over Taiwan would likely expand to involve North Korea, pulling the Korean Peninsula into a broader regional war. They stressed
Original Source On July 18, IPSI nonresident senior fellow Sungmin Cho was quoted in the Diplomat regarding heightened geopolitical tensions in East Asia and the implications for South Korea. He emphasized the increased risk of unconventional action by an emboldened Kim Jong Un, such as terrorist attacks on South Korean infrastructure and civilians. Fellow Sungmin
ORIGINAL SOURCE On June 17, IPSI nonresident fellow Brian Kerg’s recent New Atlanticist piece, “Think China can already take Taiwan easily? Think again,” was referenced by Taipei Times regarding the impact of a potential China-Taiwan conflict on countries close to Taiwan. Fellow Brian Kerg Nonresident Fellow Indo-Pacific Security Initiative Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security
ORIGINAL SOURCE On June 15, IPSI nonresident fellow Brian Kerg’s New Atlanticist piece, “There will be no ‘short, sharp’ war. A fight between the US and China would likely go on for years,” was referenced by the Australian Independent Media Network regarding the likelihood of a prolonged conflict with China over Taiwan. Fellow Brian Kerg
Original Source On June 22, IPSI nonresident fellow Brian Kerg’s recent New Atlanticist piece, “Think China can already take Taiwan easily? Think again,” was re-published in the Asia Times. In the piece, Kerg argues that China seeks to create a false narrative that it would inevitably prevail in an invasion of Taiwan. Fellow Brian Kerg
ORIGINAL SOURCE On June 18, IPSI nonresident senior fellow Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi was quoted in a South China Morning Post article, discussing potential new conflict flashpoints in the East China Sea due to a new Chinese coastguard law. Fellow Ryo Hinata-Yamaguchi Nonresident Senior Fellow Indo-Pacific Security Initiative Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security Defense Policy Indo-Pacific