Original source On November 7th, 2024, Global China Hub nonresident fellow Wen-Ti Sung was quoted in a Business Times article on how a second Trump administration may approach relations with Taiwan: “Trump’s transactional nature means that U.S. support for Taiwan could come at a price.” China Conflict Crisis Management Defense Policy Elections Maritime Security Politics
Get ready for the sequel. On November 6, the Associated Press declared Donald Trump the winner of the 2024 US presidential election. A transition now kicks off as world events continue to churn. When he returns to the presidency on January 20, Trump’s inbox will be full of global challenges. How will he respond? And
GET UP TO SPEED They’re already there. On Wednesday, US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin confirmed that North Korean troops are in Russia, backing up earlier reports from South Korean intelligence. This news came as Ukrainian intelligence officials warned that thousands of North Korean soldiers will soon be deployed to Kursk, near Russian territory that
Table of contents Introduction Findings summary Methodology Analysis Key findings and recommendations Appendix: Table-top-exercise timeline Introduction China’s rapidly improving nuclear capabilities and expanding nuclear arsenal underpin its recent rise as a nuclear peer power. For the United States and its allies in the Indo-Pacific region, the uncertainty of China’s intentions behind this nuclear expansion poses
“Israel Alone,” blared the Economist’s cover story in late March. This sentiment resonated deeply with Israelis. Since Hamas’s devastating attack on October 7, the fight to free hostages and defend itself from vicious terrorism feels like a solitary battle. Six months into the conflict, 133 Israeli hostages still languish in Gaza, tens of thousands of
Here’s the 4-1-1. Four bills are heading toward a vote in the US House, likely Saturday, intended to provide additional aid to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan—more than ninety billion dollars in all. One man, Speaker Mike Johnson, is orchestrating this four-part package, which would also back efforts to seize Russian assets to support Ukraine, among
The year 2023 was supposed to be China’s big break in the Middle East. It began in March, when China brokered a historic détente between regional rivals Iran and Saudi Arabia, sidelining the United States. The image of China’s top diplomat Wang Yi beaming with Saudi and Iranian ministers in Beijing prompted swift comparison by
ORIGINAL SOURCE On December 1, IPSI/GCH nonresident senior fellow Dexter Tiff Roberts was quoted in Swedish business journal Dagens Industri regarding a recent poll showing most Chinese believe the US and China will fall into armed conflict over Taiwan in the next five years. On November 30, Roberts was quoted in another Dagens Industri article
Subscribe to the Global China Hub On October 7, the world witnessed a barbaric attack on Israel by Hamas terrorists. We also received unequivocal confirmation of China’s unwillingness to take risks on the global stage commensurate with its bid to be viewed as a leading power, even in support of a supposed friend. Beijing has
