As the Red Sea crisis prompted by the Gaza War enters its fourth month with no sign of a breakthrough, Egypt—which relies on Suez Canal revenues as one of its primary sources of foreign currency—has been hit hard. Attacks on ships in the Red Sea by Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen have caused major shipping companies
Are we at the end of an eighty-year period of US global leadership? The United States emerged as a global leader—no, the key global actor—when President Franklin Delano Roosevelt overcame a long tradition of US isolationism by moving forward with the Lend-Lease program that provided essential aid to keep the United Kingdom in the war
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Amid worsening ammunition shortages and mounting concerns over the future of Western military aid, the Ukrainian army has largely switched to active defense in recent months. Nevertheless, as the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine approaches the two-year mark, talk of a stalemate remains premature. While heavy fighting continues at various hot spots along the front
Neither tear gas, police batons, nor the twelve degree January windchill were able to deter thousands of protesters from taking to the streets in Baymak, Bashkortostan, at the start of 2024. On January 12, over 1,500 people turned out in this small town, 250 miles from the regional capital of Ufa, marking one of the
ORIGINAL SOURCE On February 5, Markus Garlauskas’ remarks from a recent public event at the Korea Society were quoted by the Daily Beast. The article, examining rising fears of North Korean aggression, referenced his recent comments that the focus should not be on full-scale war, but “in that space between provocation of war.” Staff Markus
Prepare for round two. On Sunday, John Kirby, a spokesperson for the National Security Council, said that US strikes over the weekend in Iraq and Syria were “just the first round” in response to the January 28 killing of three US servicemembers in a drone attack in Jordan. He spoke after B-1 bombers and other US forces
ORIGINAL SOURCE On February 2, IPSI nonresident senior fellow Sara Bjerg Moller was mentioned in a recent Foreign Policy article by Matthew Kroenig and the Stimson Center’s Emma Ashford. The article, on whether the US can deter or compel Iran, referenced Moller’s claim that “if you have to carry through on your coercive threat deterrence
If the [US] response is too weak, Iran will essentially conclude that it got away with this attack and that it can continue to attack US forces and bases in the region, so it needs to be strong enough that Iran decides that this isn’t worth it. Matthew Kroenig
Of the four great geopolitical tests facing the United States this year—in Europe, in the Mideast, with China, and over tech leadership—it is war in Ukraine that holds the greatest urgency and is of the most immediate geopolitical consequence. To lose there—or even to settle for stalemate—would have influence on all other theaters. If Russia’s
